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The hamadryas baboon (Papio hamadryas hamadryas) is the only indigenous species of non-human primates (NHP) found in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA). There are no peer-reviewed publications on viral infections of the baboons of KSA. Apart from camels, other animals are likely sources of the novel Middle East Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus (MERSCoV) for humans. We investigated evidence of highly pathogenic coronavirus infections including MERSCoV in a large group of commensal baboons accompanied by feral dogs, on the outskirts of Ta'if city, KSA, in February 2013. Fifty baboons (16 juveniles and 34 adults) were screened for serum antibodies to human coronaviruses (HCoV-043/-NL63/-229) and canine coronaviruses (CCoV-1-3) using direct Enzyme-linked Immunosorbent Assay (ELISA) technique and for MERSCoV antibodies using Serum Neutralization Test (SNT). Of the 50 sampled baboons, 22% (n = 11) were seropositive to HCoVs, 10% (n = 5) were seropositive to CCoVs, while none had detectable MERSCoV antibodies. These findings bear potentially significant implications for public health, canine health and baboon conservation efforts, necessitating follow-up investigations and preventive measures at locations where baboons frequent human habitations, or are regarded as tourist attractions, in KSA.
The 12 months from June 2013 to May 2014 were, in many ways, typical in the emerging infectious disease events that occurred. There were no huge shocks, no massive outbreaks nor new pandemics, but every month there were important events and together the year's events form a good illustration of what is a ‘normal’ rhythm of events for emerging infectious diseases. However, after May 2014 the Ebola epidemic in West Africa (described, in its infancy, under ‘March’ in this chapter) rapidly expanded to become a very large epidemic, illustrating how quickly small outbreaks can become very large problems given circumstances that favour human to human transmission and rapid spread.
Whilst many people think of ‘emerging infections’ as only the brand new infections like SARS and HIV, the definition of emerging infections is broader and includes five types of infections that are in some sense ‘new’. Table 4.1 describes those five types and gives examples of each from the past.
In England, Public Health England (an agency of the Department of Health) routinely gathers up evidence about new infectious disease both nationally and internationally. This ‘horizon scanning’ activity is an important part of identifying new infectious hazards that may pose a risk to public health. Each month Public Health England, along with other government bodies, publishes a two-page summary of notable events of public health significance. These summaries are widely circulated in government and academia and are publically available. They form both an excellent warning of current events and a record of how events unfold over months and years.
In this article I have picked one event from each of the past twelve months to illustrate the ‘normal’ rhythm of incidents. Those events have been chosen to illustrate the five types of emerging infectious disease events. They include the three events of 2013–14 that are most likely to trigger substantial, global problems in the future: the ongoing MERS-coronavirus outbreak in the Middle East (July 2013), the ongoing zoonotic cases of Avian Influenza in China (February 2014) and the re-emergence of Polio in early 2014 (May 2014). Despite the ongoing fears about a devastating influenza pandemic, the biggest realised threat from emerging infections continues to be the evolution of antimicrobial resistance. This is a slow, chronic problem that is happening everywhere all the time and therefore never triggers a single ‘event’.
Since the emergence of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV), Singapore has enhanced its national surveillance system to detect the potential importation of this novel pathogen. Using the guidelines from the Singapore Ministry of Health, a suspect case was defined as a person with clinical signs and symptoms suggestive of pneumonia or severe respiratory infection with breathlessness, and with an epidemiological link to countries where MERS-CoV cases had been reported within the preceding 14 days. This report describes a retrospective review of 851 suspected MERS-CoV cases assessed at the adult tertiary-care hospital in Singapore between September 2012 and December 2015. In total, 262 patients (31%) were hospitalized. All had MERS-CoV infection ruled out by RT–PCR or clinical assessment. Two hundred and thirty (88%) of the hospitalized patients were also investigated for influenza virus by RT–PCR. Of these, 62 (27%) tested positive for seasonal influenza. None of the patients with positive influenza results had been vaccinated in the year prior to hospital admission. Ninety-three (36%) out of the 262 hospitalized patients had clinical and/or radiological evidence of pneumonia. This study demonstrates the potential benefits of pre-travel vaccination against influenza and pneumococcal disease.
We compared the rates of fever in adult subjects with laboratory-confirmed influenza and other respiratory viruses and examined the factors that predict fever in adults. Symptom data on 158 healthcare workers (HCWs) with a laboratory-confirmed respiratory virus infection were collected using standardized data collection forms from three separate studies. Overall, the rate of fever in confirmed viral respiratory infections in adult HCWs was 23·4% (37/158). Rates varied by virus: human rhinovirus (25·3%, 19/75), influenza A virus (30%, 3/10), coronavirus (28·6%, 2/7), human metapneumovirus (28·6%, 2/7), respiratory syncytial virus (14·3%, 4/28) and parainfluenza virus (8·3%, 1/12). Smoking [relative risk (RR) 4·65, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1·33–16·25] and co-infection with two or more viruses (RR 4·19, 95% CI 1·21–14·52) were significant predictors of fever. Fever is less common in adults with confirmed viral respiratory infections, including influenza, than described in children. More than 75% of adults with a viral respiratory infection do not have fever, which is an important finding for clinical triage of adult patients with respiratory infections. The accepted definition of ‘influenza-like illness’ includes fever and may be insensitive for surveillance when high case-finding is required. A more sensitive case definition could be used to identify adult cases, particularly in event of an emerging viral infection.