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1 - Introduction: Change and Continuity Narratives in the Philippines from Duterte to Marcos Jr.

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 July 2025

Aries Arugay
Affiliation:
ISEAS - Yusof Ishak Institute
Jean Encinas-Franco
Affiliation:
University of the Philippines
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Summary

Since 2016, the Philippines underwent profound policy changes under the leadership of firebrand and populist leader Rodrigo Duterte. Within the span of six years, these sea changes had widespread ramifications for the country's democratic regime as well as economic and social conditions that include a bloody war on drugs, a massive terrorist attack in Mindanao, a pivot away from orthodox foreign policies, a gripping global pandemic, and economic hardship, among others. Side by side with these changes are the reinforcement of strongman rule, militarized governance, and dynastic dominance in the political sphere of Asia's oldest democracy. This chapter introduces this edited volume by discussing the three narratives that currently describe the state of Philippine state and society since Duterte took power: games, changes, and fears. Games represent the continuity of elite competition and collusion at the expense of the public welfare and the difficulty to assert the republic's national interest given the superpower rivalry between the United States and China. On the other hand, the changes brought about by Duterte's populist playbook have further weakened institutions and perniciously polarized society. This in turn generated multiple fears of Duterte's legacies of autocratic politics, militarization, social violence, and economic uncertainty given the advent of the Marcos Jr. administration.

Keywords: Duterte; democracy; Marcos Jr.; political change; Philippines

Introduction

Since 2016, the Philippines underwent profound policy and political changes under the leadership of firebrand and populist leader Rodrigo Duterte. These include major modifications in the country's foreign policy through a more accommodationist stance towards China while undermining the military alliance with the United States. Beyond this foreign policy shift, Duterte has also instigated major assaults on the Philippines’ liberal and democratic institutions and the public sphere. His populist rhetoric mobilized a broad political coalition that directly attacked the opposition, independent media, and civil society. The country's major media network was deprived of a franchise to operate, a Supreme Court Chief Justice was removed from office, Duterte's political opponents were incarcerated, and political dissidents and critics were labelled as communists and terrorists. By all metrics of democratic quality, the Philippine democratic regime underwent further erosion under the Duterte administration.

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Type
Chapter
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Games, Changes, and Fears
The Philippines from Duterte to Marcos Jr
, pp. 1 - 32
Publisher: ISEAS–Yusof Ishak Institute
Print publication year: 2024

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