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1 results

  • 3 - Climate Scenarios: A Tale of Three Futures

  • Abena Takyiwaa Asamoah-Okyere, Ministry of Finance, Ghana, Christina Natalia Widjaja, United Nations University Institute for Environment and Human Security, Tim Smedley, Freelance writer
  • Book:
    From Crisis to Action
    Published online:
    15 August 2025
    Print publication:
    04 September 2025, pp 44-73
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  • Summary

    Three potential climate futures — 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and 3.6 °C — are predicted by the UNFCCC’s ‘climate action pathways’, each with major and escalating implications for adaptation and mitigation. Marina Romanello, Co-Lead Health Editor for The Monitor, highlights the dangers of anything above a 1.5 °C scenario, emphasizing increased health risks and economic damages. The chapter outlines the CVF Monitor’s projections for each of the three scenarios and discusses the significant differences in outcomes depending on global warming levels. Stressing the importance of adhering to international agreements like the Paris Agreement, immediate and substantial emissions reductions are crucial to avoid catastrophic impacts. The chapter underscores the need for global cooperation in achieving these goals.