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Authors’ reply: Continuity corrections with Mantel–Haenszel estimators in Cochrane reviews

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 July 2025

Yasushi Tsujimoto
Affiliation:
Department of Health Promotion and Human Behavior, Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine/School of Public Health, Kyoto, Japan Division of Rheumatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Showa University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan Oku Medical Clinic, Osaka, Japan https://ror.org/00m00xg10 Scientific Research Works Peer Support Group (SRWS-PSG) , Osaka, Japan
Yusuke Tsutsumi
Affiliation:
https://ror.org/00m00xg10 Scientific Research Works Peer Support Group (SRWS-PSG) , Osaka, Japan Human Health Sciences, Graduate School of Medicine, https://ror.org/02kpeqv85 Kyoto University , Kyoto, Japan Department of Emergency Medicine, https://ror.org/00m9ydx43 National Hospital Organization Mito Medical Center , Ibaraki, Japan
Yuki Kataoka
Affiliation:
https://ror.org/00m00xg10 Scientific Research Works Peer Support Group (SRWS-PSG) , Osaka, Japan Department of Healthcare Epidemiology, Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine/School of Public Health, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan Department of Internal Medicine, https://ror.org/01d516y88 Kyoto Min-iren Asukai Hospital , Kyoto, Japan
Akihiro Shiroshita
Affiliation:
https://ror.org/00m00xg10 Scientific Research Works Peer Support Group (SRWS-PSG) , Osaka, Japan Division of Epidemiology, Department of Medicine, https://ror.org/05dq2gs74 Vanderbilt University School of Medicine , Nashville, TN, USA
Orestis Efthimiou
Affiliation:
Institute of Primary Health Care (BIHAM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Toshi A. Furukawa*
Affiliation:
Department of Health Promotion and Human Behavior, Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine/School of Public Health, Kyoto, Japan
*
Corresponding author: Toshi A. Furukawa; Email: furukawa@kuhp.kyoto-u.ac.jp
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Abstract

Information

Type
Letter to the Editor
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - ND
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivatives licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nd/4.0), which permits re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided that no alterations are made and the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The Society for Research Synthesis Methodology

Dear Editors,

We thank Ades and colleagues for their thoughtful letter regarding our paper on continuity corrections in Cochrane reviews.Reference Tsujimoto, Tsutsumi, Kataoka, Shiroshita, Efthimiou and Furukawa1 We fully agree with their concerns about the inappropriate implementation of continuity corrections with Mantel–Haenszel (MH) estimators, and appreciate their detailed historical perspective on this issue through the lens of Group B streptococcus prophylaxis reviews.

Their letter effectively illustrates how statistical methods that are known to be problematic can persist in widely-used software, potentially impacting clinical interpretations. The case study they present demonstrates how the default continuity correction in RevMan led to underestimation of intervention effects in reviews of intrapartum antibiotic prophylaxis, which aligns with our findings that approximately 30% of meta-analyses showed substantial differences in effect estimates when comparing methods with and without continuity correction.Reference Tsujimoto, Tsutsumi, Kataoka, Shiroshita, Efthimiou and Furukawa1

Cochrane states that it “exists to provide reliable evidence that people can use to make more informed health decisions.”2 In working toward this goal, we note that RevMan Web has recently implemented some methodological improvements, such as restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimation for random effects models and Hartung–Knapp–Sidik–Jonkman methods for confidence intervals.3 However, the software still lacks the capacity to conduct MH meta-analysis without continuity corrections or to use exact methods such as conditional logistic regression for rare events meta-analysis.

We maintain our position that RevMan Web should incorporate more reliable statistical methods, including MH without continuity correction and logistic regression. Ades and colleagues raise an important point about statistical oversight in Cochrane’s editorial process. While organizational changes may help address this, we agree that having appropriate statistical methods readily available in the default software is crucial for supporting systematic reviewers in producing valid analyses.

Author contributions

Yasushi Tsujimoto: Conceptualization; and writing – original draft. Yusuke Tsutsumi: Conceptualization; and writing – original draft. Yuki Kataoka: Conceptualization; and writing – original draft. Akihiro Shiroshita: Conceptualization; and writing – original draft. Orestis Efthimiou: Conceptualization; and writing – review and editing; supervision. Toshi A. Furukawa: Conceptualization; and writing – review and editing; supervision.

Competing interest statement

Y.T. is a board member of Cochrane Japan, and received grants from Pfizer Health Research Foundation. A.S. received financial support for his doctoral study from Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Center for Asthma Research and the Fulbright Association. T.A.F. reports personal fees from DT Axis, Kyoto University Original, MSD and SONY, and a grant from Shionogi, outside the submitted work. In addition, T.A.F. has patents 2020-548587 and 2022-082495 pending, and intellectual properties for Kokoro-app licensed to Mitsubishi-Tanabe. The remaining authors declare that no competing interests exist .

Data availability statement

Not applicable.

Funding statement

The authors declare that no specific funding has been received for this article.

References

Tsujimoto, Y, Tsutsumi, Y, Kataoka, Y, Shiroshita, A, Efthimiou, O, Furukawa, TA. The impact of continuity correction methods in Cochrane reviews with single-zero trials with rare events: a meta-epidemiological study. Res Synth Methods. 2024;15(5):769779.Google ScholarPubMed
Cochrane. About us [Internet]. [cited 2025 Feb 4]. Available from https://www.cochrane.org/about-us.Google Scholar
Cochrane. Introduction to new random-effects methods in RevMan [Internet]. [cited 2025 Feb 4]. Available from https://training.cochrane.org/resource/introduction-to-new-random-effects-methods-in-revman.Google Scholar