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Published online by Cambridge University Press: 12 August 2025
This article examines how the entry of commercial lenders (CLs) transforms microfinance markets, focusing on borrower outcomes and market-wide spillovers. Using detailed credit registry data, we show that increased competition improves loan terms for both graduating and staying borrowers, generating sustained benefits. Our setting also allows us to document what happens when entry fails and entrants retreat following a crisis. Despite increasing defaults, borrowers who graduate to banks experience long-term gains, particularly through lower borrowing costs. Our findings highlight the broader benefits and risks of fostering competition in microfinance, providing valuable insights for policymakers and financial inclusion initiatives.
We thank Thorsten Beck, Tobias Berg, Fabio Braggion, Angela Gallo, Annette Krauss, Florian Léon, Nicola Limodio, Robert Marquez, Roy Mersland, Kuchulain O’Flynn, Steven Ongena, and Andrea Presbitero for helpful comments and suggestions. All errors are our own.