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Sex-Based Classification of Grey Matter Volume Using SVM: Implications for Early-Phase Psychotic and Mood Disorders

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 August 2025

M. F. Urquijo*
Affiliation:
Psychiatry Dept., University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany
A. Riecher-Rössler
Affiliation:
Medical Faculty, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
P. Falkai
Affiliation:
Psychiatry Dept., University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany
D. Dwyer
Affiliation:
Orygen, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
P. Consortium
Affiliation:
Psychiatry Dept., University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany Medical Faculty, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland Psychiatry Department, University hospital Cologne, Cologne University of Münster, Münster, Germany Aldo Moro University of Bari, Bari University of Udine, Udine, Italy University of Turku, Turku, Finland University of Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf, Germany University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
N. Koutsouleris
Affiliation:
Psychiatry Dept., University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany Psychiatry Dept., King’s College, London, United Kingdom Max Planck Institute for Psychiatry, Munich, Germany
*
*Corresponding author.

Abstract

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Introduction

Understanding sex differences in brain structure is crucial for advancing personalized medicine. However, the alterations of sex-based neuroanatomical differences during the early phases of mood and psychotic disorders remain largely underexplored.

Objectives

This study aimed to evaluate neuroanatomical sex-based differences in a healthy cohort and assess potential alterations in clinical populations from the early psychiatric spectrum using a machine learning approach.

Methods

For this, we developed a Support Vector Machine (SVM) model trained to classify sex based on grey matter volume from a cohort of healthy controls (HC, n = 521), aged 15 to 40 years. After optimization and cross-validation, the model was applied to three distinct clinical populations from the same age range: individuals at clinical high risk for psychosis (CHR, n =334), those with recent onset psychosis (ROP, n = 351), and those with recent onset depression (ROD, n = 309).

Results

The model achieved a robust balanced accuracy (BAC) of 85.1% (p < .01) in the HC cohort. When applied to the CHR group, the model maintained a BAC of 85.5%, whereas its performance decreased in the ROP (75.8% BAC) and ROD (79.3% BAC) groups. In contrast to previous literature, female participants in the ROP group exhibited a masculinization of brain patterns, while male participants showed no such reversal. In the ROD group, both sexes revealed a slight tendency toward patterns typical of the opposite sex.

Conclusions

These preliminary findings suggest that sex-based neuroanatomical structures remain preserved at high-risk stages but undergo alterations with disorder progression. Future research will investigate the observed performance decline in relation to other phenotypic factors. These findings offer novel insights into sex-specific neurobiological mechanisms underlying psychotic and mood disorders and their early markers.

Disclosure of Interest

None Declared

Information

Type
Abstract
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of European Psychiatric Association
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