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F.1 Validation and next-generation update of a DNA methylation-based recurrence predictor for meningioma: a multicenter prospective study

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 July 2025

A Landry
Affiliation:
(Toronto)*
J Wang
Affiliation:
(Toronto)
V Patil
Affiliation:
(Toronto)
C Gui
Affiliation:
(Toronto)
M Yasin
Affiliation:
(Toronto)
A Ajisebutu
Affiliation:
(Toronto)
Y Ellenbogen
Affiliation:
(Toronto)
A Cohen-Gadol
Affiliation:
(Los Angeles)
G Tabatabai
Affiliation:
(Tubingen)
M Tatagiba
Affiliation:
(Tubingen)
F Behling
Affiliation:
(Tubingen)
J Sloan
Affiliation:
(Bethesda)
A Sloan
Affiliation:
(Atlanta)
L Chambless
Affiliation:
(Nashville)
A Mansouri
Affiliation:
(Hershey)
F Ehret
Affiliation:
(Berlin)
D Capper
Affiliation:
(Berlin)
D Tsang
Affiliation:
(Toronto)
K Aldape
Affiliation:
(Bethesda)
A Gao
Affiliation:
(Toronto)
F Nassiri
Affiliation:
(Toronto)
G Zadeh
Affiliation:
(Toronto)
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Abstract

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Background: We previously developed a DNA methylation-based risk predictor for meningioma, which has been used locally in a prospective fashion. As a follow-up, we validate this model using a large prospective cohort and introduce a streamlined next-generation model compatible with newer methylation arrays. Methods: The performance of our next-generation predictor was compared with our original model and standard-of-care 2021 WHO grade using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves. A nomogram was generated by incorporating our methylation predictor with WHO grade and extent of resection. Results: A total of 1347 meningioma cases were utilized in the study, including 469 prospective cases from 3 institutions and a retrospective cohort of 100 WHO grade 2 cases for model validation. Both the original and next-generation models significantly outperformed 2021 WHO grade in predicting postoperative recurrence. Dichotomizing into grade-specific risk subgroups was predictive of outcome within both WHO grades 1 and 2 tumours (log-rank p<0.05). Multivariable Cox regression demonstrated benefit of adjuvant radiotherapy in high-risk cases specifically, reinforcing its informative role in clinical decision making. Conclusions: This next-generation DNA methylation-based meningioma outcome predictor significantly outperforms 2021 WHO grading in predicting time to recurrence. This will help improve prognostication and inform patient selection for RT.

Information

Type
Abstracts
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Canadian Neurological Sciences Federation