Published online by Cambridge University Press: 01 July 2016
For all uniformly bounded sequences of independent random variables X 1, X2, ···, a complete comparison is made between the optimal value V(X 1 , X 2, ···) = sup {EXt:t is an (a.e.) finite stop rule for X 1,X 2, ···} and , where Mi (X 1,X 2, ···) is the ith largest order statistic for X 1 , X 2, ··· In particular, for k> 1, the set of ordered pairs {(x, y):x = V(X 1 , X 2, ···) and
for some independent random variables X 1 , X 2, ··· taking values in [0, 1]} is precisely the set
, where Bk (0) = 0, Bk (1) = 1, and for
The result yields sharp, universal inequalities for independent random variables comparing two choice mechanisms, the mortal&s value of the game V(X 1 , X 2, ···) and the prophet&s constrained maxima expectation of the game
. Techniques of proof include probability- and convexity-based reductions; calculus-based, multivariate, extremal problem analysis; and limit theorems of Poisson-approximation type. Precise results are also given for finite sequences of independent random variables.
Supported in part by National Science Foundation Grant DMS-84-01604.