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9 - Potential pitfalls in the analysis of necessity and sufficiency and suggestions for avoiding them

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 November 2012

Carsten Q. Schneider
Affiliation:
Central European University, Budapest
Claudius Wagemann
Affiliation:
Johann Wolfgang Goethe-Universität Frankfurt
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Summary

Pitfalls in inferring necessity from suffi ciency solution terms

h ere are two pitfalls related to the analysis of necessity: the disappearance oftrue necessary conditions and the appearance of false necessary conditions .We illustrate both fallacies using data from published QCA. As before in thebook, we do not aim at reanalyzing the original studies but rather alter themin order to better demonstrate our methodological arguments.

Hidden necessary conditions

Hidden necessary conditions can occur due to two, mutually non-exclusivefeatures of the data at hand. One reason consists in the kind of assumptionsmade on logical remainders. The other reason rests in the treatment of less-than-perfect set relations. In the following, we provide one example for eachsource. From these examples, we then derive the general conditions underwhich this phenomenon occurs.

Hidden necessary conditions due to incoherent counterfactuals

Stokke (2004) aims at identifying the conditions under which the strategy ofshaming makes hitherto non-compliant countries observe international fishingrules (SUCCESS). He identifies five conditions: advice (A); commitment (C); shadow of the future (S); inconvenience (I); and reverberation (R). h eten countries evenly split into five successful and five unsuccessful incidencesof shaming. The cases fall into eight different truth table rows (four connectedto success and four to the lack of success). Given a truth table with 25 conditions,there are 32 − 8 = 24 logical remainders (Table 9.1).

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Set-Theoretic Methods for the Social Sciences
A Guide to Qualitative Comparative Analysis
, pp. 220 - 250
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2012

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